4 degrees warming by 2040 – at least the truth is out.

When the WORLD BANK, PriceWaterhouse Cooper, and the International Energy Authority release reports warning of global warming reaching 6 degrees by 2100, the work of climate scientists such as America’s Dr James Hansen and England’s Dr Kevin Anderson stand out as being people that should be listened to.

The international energy agency’s (IEA) view on climate change –

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“on track for a 3.5°C rise by 2040”      (i.e. 4.2°C relative to preindustrial)
“When I look at this data, the trend is perfectly in line with a temperature increase of 6 degrees Celsius, which would have devastating consequences for the planet.”
“we have 5 years to change the energy system – or have it changed”
Fatih Birol – IEA chief economist

Kevin Anderson, gave this lecture, in Bristol U.K. in Nov 2012 – “From Rhetoric to Reality”, he lays out the grim reality of climate change, and our inability to address it globally. Anderson has become the U.K. equivalent of Prof James Hansen in the ability to communicate the inescapable reality which “business as usual” will bring.

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We are currently heading for 4 degrees C of warming and planning for 2 degrees C. As Anderson points out, that’s ass backwards. Further, he sees absolutely no way we can meet those targets, given the rapid industrialisation of China and the emerging economies, and the current state of global political inaction.

WORLD BANK. – Turn Down The Heat: Why a 4°C Warmer World Must be Avoided http://www.worldbank.org/en/news/2012/11/18/new-report-examines-risks-of-degree-hotter-world-by-end-of-century

PricewaterhouseCoopers (PwC) – Even to have a reasonable prospect of getting to a 4°C scenario would imply nearly quadrupling the current rate of decarbonisation.   http://www.pwc.com/gx/en/sustainability/publications/low-carbon-economy-index/index.jhtml

International Energy Authority http://www.worldenergyoutlook.org/

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